Edited 12:13 AM ET: projections reflect the latest news update.
Results - Sun Nov 8
✅ 6 hits · ⬆️ 2 good misses · ⬇️ 2 bad misses
Should've kept Turner over Naji; apparently changing the sheets doesn't help when I'm the one shitting the bed. 2 of 5 games ended 20+ apart.
| Player | Proj | FPTS | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Studs | |||
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 56 | 58 | ✅ +2 |
| Jayson Tatum | 48 | 41 | ✅ -7 |
| Cooper Flagg | 47 | 52.75 | ✅ +6 |
| Darius Garland | 38 | 43 | ✅ +5 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 41 | 55.75 | ⬆️ +15 · 39 min (proj 34) |
| Value | |||
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 31 | 27.5 | ✅ -4 |
| Brook Lopez | 27 | 30.75 | ✅ +4 |
| Brayden Burries | 23 | 31 | ⬆️ +8 · same minutes, big night |
| Nolan Traore | 27 | 18.75 | ⬇️ -8 · 21 min, quiet night |
| Naji Marshall | 24 | 13.25 | ⬇️ -11 · 15 min, 37-pt game |
News calls: Keyonte George (Questionable) played 30 min · Lauri Markkanen (Questionable) sat · Keegan Murray (Questionable) played 23 min · Nolan Traore 21 min, 18.75 FPTS (called 24 min) · Jaylen Clark 19 min, 9.5 FPTS (called 20 min) · Josh Green 28 min, 12 FPTS (called 18 min)
Model tonight: MAE 6.2 FPTS across 123 players (season: 7.4).
These are my own projections for tonight's DraftKings Classic slate.
My model's MAE this season is 7.5 fantasy points (FPTS) per player (2,612 players over 18 slates). MAE (mean absolute error) is the average gap between my projection and what the player actually scored, high or low.
Projections refresh hourly until 5:00 ET, then every 10 minutes until the last game locks (9:00 ET). Every change is timestamped under Updates.
Season record (5 slates): ✅ 25 hits · ⬆️ 14 good misses · ⬇️ 11 bad misses
Nothing tests my commitment to a lineup like seeing literally any other lineup. 5 games tonight. Top total: MIA@SAC 237.5; biggest spread: BOS@MIL (BOS -13.5), so those benches may clock in early.
| Game (ET) | Total | Spread |
|---|---|---|
| UTA@MIN 7:00 | 221.5 | MIN -12.5 |
| BKN@DAL 7:30 | 222.5 | DAL -7.5 |
| BOS@MIL 8:00 | 221.5 | BOS -13.5 |
| MIA@SAC 9:00 | 237.5 | MIA -10.5 |
| NOP@LAC 9:00 | 226.5 | NOP -1.5 |
Studs (5)
Jayson Tatum or Cooper Flagg? I'll spend the evening noticing whichever one I didn't pick.
| Player | Salary | Proj FPTS | Min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIA) | $11,300 | 56 | 31 |
| Jayson Tatum (BOS) | $10,000 | 48 | 33 |
| Cooper Flagg (DAL) | $10,100 | 47 | 33 |
| Darius Garland (LAC) | $8,500 | 38 | 32 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. (SAC) | $8,400 | 41 | 34 |
Value (5) - $5,500 and under
I almost put Turner here again, but shit the bed once, shame on you; twice, shame on me for changing the sheets.
| Player | Salary | Proj FPTS | Min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day'Ron Sharpe (BKN) | $5,100 | 31 | 25 |
| Brook Lopez (LAC) | $4,600 | 27 | 26 |
| Brayden Burries (MIL) | $4,300 | 23 | 27 |
| Nolan Traore (BKN) | $4,900 | 27 | 26 |
| Naji Marshall (DAL) | $5,200 | 24 | 25 |
Late swap
Games that haven't started yet, as of 7:36 ET
- Gary Trent Jr. (MIL) is OUT.
News
- Now OUT: Lauri Markkanen (UTA)
- Now playing: Keyonte George (UTA) · Keegan Murray (SAC)
- BKN without Egor Demin, Mikel Brown Jr. → Nolan Traore 20 → 24 min
- MIN without Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo → Jaylen Clark 11 → 20 min
- UTA without Jaren Jackson Jr., Jusuf Nurkic → Josh Green 13 → 18 min
- Back-to-back: BKN
- Hot: Davion Mitchell (MIA) 34 FPTS over the last 5 (17 season) · Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 40 FPTS over the last 5 (24 season) · Cold: Andrew Wiggins (MIA) 18 (28) · Domantas Sabonis (SAC) 40 (49)
Updates
(ET, newest first)
- 7:36 - Late swap section updated for the games that haven't started.
- 7:06 - Late swap section updated for the games that haven't started.
- 6:54 - Lock check: all 10 picks active. Later games keep updating until the last lock (9:00 ET).
- 6:36 - Table numbers updated to the latest projections (Jayson Tatum 50 → 48, Cooper Flagg 48 → 47, Darius Acuff Jr. 39 → 41).
How I grade tonight: ✅ Hit = within 7.5 FPTS of my projection · ⬆️ Good miss = scored more than that · ⬇️ Bad miss = scored less. Results go at the top of this post after the last game.