A star sits. His minutes don't.
Nov 4: Trey Murphy III was questionable all day, then ruled out at 6:00 PM ET, two hours before the Pelicans tipped. Three minutes later our projections had moved his minutes to the players who'd soak them up, Karlo Matkovic (19.7 to 24.0) and Saddiq Bey (28.0 to 32.3) most.
A late scratch is treated as minutes that have to go somewhere, not a hole in the lineup.
What “Questionable” really means
We measured it. Across 154 game days of official NBA injury reports, players listed Questionable at the 5:30 PM ET report played 49% of the time; Probable played 92%, Doubtful under 2% and Out almost never. A Questionable tag is a coin flip, which is why the pool lets you remove every Q and GTD player in one click if you'd rather not take the risk.
Questions
How fast do projections update after news?
On Nov 4, Trey Murphy III was ruled out at 6:00 PM ET and the re-projected Pelicans were live at 6:03 PM ET. While the Hub is open, projections reload on their own shortly after a news update.
How often do questionable NBA players play?
In our measurement over 154 game days, players listed Questionable at the 5:30 PM ET injury report played 49% of the time.